Chinese Wuhan Virus Update – Tuesday April 7

Wrong again – big time.  There was no update yesterday as I was working on other things. Even without my day job, I cannot seem to gain enough time!

Sunday I displayed the daily death chart and wrote about patterns. The problem is I cannot seem to count to four. My bad. All I can say is blindspots are like that – at least for me. I am glad to see I can still root them out from time to time. Meanwhile…

Anyone looking at the graph and my so-called analysis might easily see the run up to a peak was four days, not three as I was saying. Now that pattern is broken as the last run up before the decline actually was three days. Is this a big deal? Probably not. In fact, I very well could be looking at the wrong thing or even obsessing over numbers that will mean nothing in the long run. So be it.

What really got me started and startled was the relatively massive jump from March 30 to 31. The daily toll went from 558 to 912 or close to doubling. This is what got me on the penny roll. Okay, bad pun. Thank fully the doubling has not occurred again. Hopefully it will not.

If you look at daily new cases – there was a marked decline from April 4th to April 5th of nearly 9,000 cases. April 6th was up almost 5,000 cases from the 5th but still below the high on Saturday. Could this be the start of a decline in new cases? If so this could be either good or bad news depending on how you look at it. For me, the jury is still out. How could a decline of cases be bad?

What do you think will happen once we confirm we are over the hump? Won’t we all breathe a sigh of relief? Won’t we all relax and think about getting back to “normal”? Seems reasonable to me. And that could be a problem if we all relax to the point of rebooting the infectious cycle. Hence my own consternation.

As a nation, we NEED to get back to work. We NEED to move forward economically. How long can we live like we are now? Already the circumstantial factors of this virus has taken a much larger toll than the virus itself.

The way things stand now, we’ve dug ourselves a massive hole. Unemployment is raging. Our economy is suffering. We’ve allowed our employees to run wild with the national credit card. Now they want to max out one or two new ones. Already, the controllers have mortgaged our future. We cannot stand for this.

Remember the saying “I’d rather die on my feet than live on my knees”? This is the very real danger we face. It is much worse than any virus. We must all ask ourselves – what is the true price of this pandemic? I am not willing to sacrifice my freedom for “safety”.

God bless,

Andy

 

 

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